{"created":"2023-05-18T10:25:06.108196+00:00","id":794,"links":{},"metadata":{"_buckets":{"deposit":"8c864fb3-220a-4ae5-9341-28d4044f619a"},"_deposit":{"created_by":7,"id":"794","owners":[7],"pid":{"revision_id":0,"type":"depid","value":"794"},"status":"published"},"_oai":{"id":"oai:togaku.repo.nii.ac.jp:00000794","sets":["1:6:100"]},"author_link":["38","578","39","579"],"control_number":"794","item_10002_alternative_title_1":{"attribute_name":"その他（別言語等）のタイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_alternative_title":"3国間自由貿易協定はどのように輸出拡大をもたらすのか？中韓FTA の域外国日本に関する分析から得られる示唆"}]},"item_10002_biblio_info_7":{"attribute_name":"書誌情報","attribute_value_mlt":[{"bibliographicIssueDates":{"bibliographicIssueDate":"2021-03-31","bibliographicIssueDateType":"Issued"},"bibliographicIssueNumber":"4","bibliographicPageEnd":"76","bibliographicPageStart":"50","bibliographicVolumeNumber":"5","bibliographic_titles":[{"bibliographic_title":"現代経営経済研究"},{"bibliographic_title":"Toyo Gakuen University business and economic review"}]}]},"item_10002_description_5":{"attribute_name":"抄録","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"日本と韓国は多くの共通品目を中国へ輸出している．HS4桁の貿易分類で見ると，2017年では輸出上位50品目中31品目が共通している．つまり，こうした品目において日韓の企業は中国市場で激しい競争を繰り広げているといえる．そうした中，中国と韓国は2015年に2国間自由貿易協定（FTA）を締結した．それ以来日本は中韓FTA の域外国となっている．日中韓FTA も提唱され2000年代の早い時期から議論されているが，未だに締結されていない．そこで本論文は，日本が中韓の2国間FTAの域外国としてどのようなコストを払っているといえるのか，あるいは日中韓の3国でFTAを締結することによりどのような利益が得られるのかを検討することを目的とする．特に，中国市場における日本と韓国の比較優位構造に焦点を当て分析する．31品目について顕示比較優位指数（RCA）を計算し，代替の弾力性を推定する．代替の弾力性の推定値を用いて，2013年から2017年にかけて日本から韓国へシフトした中国への輸出額をシミュレーションにより求める．実際の中国への輸出減少額に占める推定された減少額，これは一種の貿易転換効果と考えられるが，その比率を計算する．HSの6 桁分類で推定結果を見ると，ポリエステルの細分類（HS390799）及びプラスチックの細分類（HS392010）では，それぞれ3%と11%の貿易転換比率が検証された．これらの品目は世界市場に比べて中国市場において低いRCAの値を示しており，一方で代替の弾力性は低い値であることから，こうした品目を生産する産業は潜在的な競争力を有しながらも中韓FTAにより中国市場ではそれが発揮されていないと類推することが出来る．従って，日中韓FTA，あるいはより大きなFTAが実現することで，こうした産業の対中国輸出は拡大するのではないかと予想する．","subitem_description_type":"Abstract"},{"subitem_description":"Japan and South Korea export numerous similar commodities to China. Out of 50 major commodities of the HS 4-digit classifications, 31 were overlapping in 2017. This means that there is severe competition facing both Japanese and Korean firms in the Chinese market. China and Korea agreed on a bilateral Free Trade Agreement （FTA） in 2015, and since then, Japan has been outside of the FTA. Although a Japan-China-Korea trilateral FTA was also proposed and has been discussed at the administrative level since the early 2000s, it has not yet been completed. This study, therefore, aims at theoretically investigating how Japanese industries could be paying the cost as an outsider to the bilateral FTA or could be benefiting from the trilateral FTA. For this purpose, our focus is particularly placed on the pattern of comparative advantage of Japan and Korea in China. We calculate the revealed comparative advantage （RCA） index and the elasticity of substitution for those 31 commodities. Using the estimated elasticities, we conducted a simulation analysis on how much of the actual decrease in Japanese exports to China could be attributed to the substitution by Korean exports between 2013 and 2017. Our HS 6-digit commodity analysis shows that for some type of polyesters （HS390799） and plastics（HS392010） exported from Japan, about 3 and 11 percentage of the decreases, respectively, could be attributed to exports diverted to Korea. Since these commodities have lower RCA indices in terms of the Chinese market compared to the world market with lower elasticity of substitution, the potential competitiveness of Japanese exports would be overlooked under the bilateral FTA, and if the trilateral or even larger FTA came into effect, their exports might grow.（JEL Classification Code: F15, F17）","subitem_description_type":"Abstract"}]},"item_10002_publisher_8":{"attribute_name":"出版者","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_publisher":"東洋学園大学","subitem_publisher_language":"ja"}]},"item_10002_source_id_9":{"attribute_name":"ISSN","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_source_identifier":"13492004","subitem_source_identifier_type":"ISSN"}]},"item_10002_version_type_20":{"attribute_name":"著者版フラグ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_version_type":"VoR"}]},"item_creator":{"attribute_name":"著者","attribute_type":"creator","attribute_value_mlt":[{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"田中, 巌","creatorNameLang":"ja"},{"creatorName":"タナカ, イワオ","creatorNameLang":"ja-Kana"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{},{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"方, 麗虹","creatorNameLang":"ja"},{"creatorName":"ホウ, レイコウ","creatorNameLang":"ja-Kana"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Tanaka, Iwao","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]},{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"Fang, Lihong","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]}]},"item_files":{"attribute_name":"ファイル情報","attribute_type":"file","attribute_value_mlt":[{"accessrole":"open_date","date":[{"dateType":"Available","dateValue":"2021-05-10"}],"displaytype":"detail","filename":"GKKK20210103.pdf","filesize":[{"value":"814.9 kB"}],"format":"application/pdf","licensetype":"license_note","mimetype":"application/pdf","url":{"label":"How does a trilateral free trade agreement lead to export growth? Implications from an analysis of Japan’s position as an outsider to the China-Korea bilateral FTA","url":"https://togaku.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/794/files/GKKK20210103.pdf"},"version_id":"80dd83aa-02e8-4a07-af1d-2484f51c30b5"}]},"item_language":{"attribute_name":"言語","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_language":"eng"}]},"item_title":"How does a trilateral free trade agreement lead to export growth? Implications from an analysis of Japan’s position as an outsider to the China-Korea bilateral FTA","item_titles":{"attribute_name":"タイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_title":"How does a trilateral free trade agreement lead to export growth? Implications from an analysis of Japan’s position as an outsider to the China-Korea bilateral FTA","subitem_title_language":"ja"},{"subitem_title":"How does a trilateral free trade agreement lead to export growth? Implications from an analysis of Japan’s position as an outsider to the China-Korea bilateral FTA","subitem_title_language":"en"}]},"item_type_id":"10002","owner":"7","path":["100"],"pubdate":{"attribute_name":"PubDate","attribute_value":"2021-05-10"},"publish_date":"2021-05-10","publish_status":"0","recid":"794","relation_version_is_last":true,"title":["How does a trilateral free trade agreement lead to export growth? Implications from an analysis of Japan’s position as an outsider to the China-Korea bilateral FTA"],"weko_creator_id":"7","weko_shared_id":-1},"updated":"2023-06-22T09:09:04.166473+00:00"}